BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Boston College 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Boston College 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
15.91 |
18.74 (+2.84) |
24.45 |
25.95 (+1.49) |
25.95 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
300.18 |
322.94 (+22.76) |
380.45 |
399.47 (+19.01) |
399.47 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.50 |
4.77 (+0.27) |
4.85 |
4.91 (+0.05) |
4.91 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
31.55 |
30.52 (-1.03) |
29.64 |
30.80 (+1.17) |
30.80 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
378.64 |
384.37 (+5.74) |
383.64 |
403.96 (+20.32) |
403.96 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.71 |
5.78 (+0.07) |
5.92 |
5.96 (+0.04) |
5.96 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Northern Illinois |
34.12 |
23.11 |
-11.01 |
57.23 |
67.65% |
L 24-27 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Holy Cross |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-28 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Florida State |
15.01 |
43.21 |
+28.20 |
58.22 |
4.77% |
L 29-31 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Louisville |
16.09 |
39.61 |
+23.52 |
55.71 |
12.27% |
L 28-56 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Virginia |
32.09 |
30.81 |
-1.28 |
62.89 |
52.05% |
W 27-24 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Army |
26.57 |
19.31 |
-7.27 |
45.88 |
61.66% |
W 27-24 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Georgia Tech |
28.16 |
39.61 |
+11.45 |
67.77 |
31.63% |
W 38-23 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Connecticut |
35.43 |
15.96 |
-19.47 |
51.39 |
81.22% |
W 21-14 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-03 |
@Syracuse |
24.21 |
28.32 |
+4.11 |
52.53 |
43.41% |
W 17-10 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Virginia Tech |
26.81 |
35.49 |
+8.68 |
62.30 |
36.07% |
L 22-48 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-17 |
@Pittsburgh |
23.81 |
26.60 |
+2.80 |
50.41 |
45.51% |
L 16-24 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-24 |
Miami |
22.98 |
38.61 |
+15.62 |
61.59 |
24.94% |
L 20-45 |
6-6 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-28 |
SMU |
23.59 |
38.74 |
+15.15 |
62.33 |
25.70% |
W 23-14 |
7-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.07% |
| 2-11 |
0.92% |
| 3-10 |
4.62% |
| 4-9 |
12.93% |
| 5-8 |
22.43% |
| 6-7 |
25.39% |
| 7-6 |
19.49% |
| 8-5 |
9.92% |
| 9-4 |
3.39% |
| 10-3 |
0.74% |
| 11-2 |
0.11% |
| 12-1 |
0.01% |